Bitcoin Reaches Crucial Juncture, $11,500 Holds The Key For Next Rally

Bitcoin price settled below the $12,000 support level against the US Dollar. BTC is currently consolidating above the $11,650 and $11,500 support levels, below which it could nosedive.

  • Bitcoin remained in a short-term bearish zone and it settled below the $12,000 region.
  • The price is currently consolidating losses above the $11,650 and $11,550 support levels.
  • There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near $11,880 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
  • The pair must stay above the $11,500 support zone to start a fresh increase in the near term.

Bitcoin Price Showing Bearish Signs

After bitcoin started a downside correction below $12,000, the bulls slowly lost control against the US Dollar. BTC even settled well below the $12,000 region and the 100 hourly simple moving average.

The bears were able to push the price below the $11,650 support zone. However, the price is still trading nicely above the $11,550 and $11,500 support levels. A low is formed near $11,581 and the price is currently correcting higher.

It recovered above the $11,700 level, but the $11,800 level is acting as a resistance. The 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent drop from the $12,490 high to $11,581 low is also near the $11,795 level.

Bitcoin price trades below $12,000. Source: TradingView.com

More importantly, there is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near $11,880 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. If there is an upside break above the trend line resistance, the price could continue to recover towards the $11,950 level or the 100 hourly SMA.

The next key resistance is near the $12,000 and $12,050 levels. The 50% Fib retracement level of the recent drop from the $12,490 high to $11,581 low is also near the $12,035 level.

On the downside, the $11,650 and $11,550 support levels are important. If there is a clear downside break and close below $11,500, the price might slide sharply towards the $11,200 and $11,000 levels in the near term.

Fresh Upward Move in BTC?

If bitcoin breaks the trend line resistance, it might retest $12,000. To move into a positive zone and start a fresh increase, the price must settle above the $12,000 and $12,050 levels.

The next major resistance is near the $12,150 level, above which the price could easily rise towards the main $12,500 resistance.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is slowly moving into the bullish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now well below the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $11,650, followed by $11,500.

Major Resistance Levels – $11,880, $12,000 and $12,050.

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