Highlights
- Crypto market altcoins like ETH, SOL, XRP, and DOGE shedding 2% each as investors adopt a cautious stance.
- US Federal interest payments are projected to consume nearly 30% of revenue by 2035, up from ~18% in 2024, showing economic pressure.
- Stablecoin reserves on Binance remain tightly range-bound suggesting investors’ holding back from fresh crypto bets.
- Ethereum, after rejecting $2,700, has dropped 4% to $2,491, with analysts predicting a potential dip to the $1,930–$2,100.
Crypto market remains on the edge as ratings agency Moody’s downgrades the United States credit ratings for the first time in history. This decision comes citing “unsustainable” US federal debt, along with the interest rate burden. Altcoins have specifically come under partial selling pressure today with ETH, SOL, XRP, DOGE losing 2% each, as investors take a cautious approach.
Crypto Market on Edge As Stablecoin Reserves Remain Rangebound
Crypto analyst Ali Martinez has highlighted a notable trend in stablecoin activity on Binance, with reserves fluctuating within a tight range of $30 billion to $34 billion. This stability in supply highlights that investors are maintaining a cautious stand, opting to hold the stablecoins instead of rotating it back into crypto. Amid the uncertain market conditions, investors are less willing to take additional risks.
Moody’s Downgrades U.S. Credit Rating for the First Time
In an unprecedented move, Moody’s Investors Service has downgraded the United States’ credit rating, citing the federal government’s unsustainable debt trajectory and rising interest burden. Key factors behind the downgrade include:
- Debt-to-GDP Ratio: The U.S. Debt-to-GDP ratio is projected to reach 134% by 2035, a stark increase from current levels.
- Soaring Interest Payments: Federal interest payments are estimated to rise to approximately 30% of revenue by 2035, up significantly from ~18% in 2024 and just ~9% in 2021.
- Historic Deficit Levels: Deficit spending, as a percentage of GDP, has now climbed to levels comparable to World War II.
Economists warn that the US debt crisis can spiral into a major economic challenge as it urgently demands attention. Moody’s action serves as a wake-up call, emphasizing the need for policy adjustments to address fiscal imbalances. Additionally, The Kobeissi Letter noted that interest rates could surge even further after Moody’s ratings.
Earlier this week, the US CPI and US PPI data came in lower than expected, which is a positive sign, highlighting the cooling of inflation.
Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH) Action Ahead
Amid the crypto market consolidation, Bitcoin price has remained range-bound and has been oscillating at $103,500 for more than week now. Crypto analyst Ali Martinez writes: “Based on the pricing bands, key support for Bitcoin $BTC sits at $98,131, while major resistance could be found at $116,900.
After strong rejection at $2,700, Ethereum price is down another 4% today, trading at $2,491. Popular crypto analyst Crypto Patel noted that ETH could fall to the next support zone range of $1,930–$2,100, before resuming a further uptrend. However, if the demand persists, the next leg of the rally could be to $4,000-$5,000.
