Bitcoin flashes bullish signals on weekly charts, but analysts warn of heavy liquidation risks and macro threats that could derail any rally.
Bitcoin is showing some of its strongest technical signals in months.
Crypto analyst Ash Crypto pointed to a bullish MACD crossover on the weekly chart. This marks the first such signal in five months.
At the same time, BTC has broken out of a downtrend that has held since the October 2025 crash. Per CoinGecko, Bitcoin trades at $77,677, down 0.80% in 24 hours but up nearly 2% over the past week.
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Bitcoin Weekly Chart Signals a Potential Breakout
Ash Crypto identified two key technical developments. The MACD has turned green with a bullish crossover after five months of bearish pressure.
Bitcoin has also staged its first major breakout from the October 2025 downtrend.
According to the analyst, the $80,000 level is the critical resistance zone. A weekly close above that level could open the door to $90,000 and beyond.
Bitcoin looks super bullish on the weekly.
1) MACD has turned green with a bullish crossover after five months.
2) We are seeing the first major breakout from the downtrend that has held Bitcoin down since the October 2025 crash.
The $80k mark is the main resistance level.… pic.twitter.com/KI8AbsGjO3
— Ash Crypto (@AshCrypto) April 25, 2026
Ash Crypto also cited several macro tailwinds supporting a potential rally. Stocks are sitting at new all-time highs. Reports suggest a major geopolitical conflict may be nearing resolution.
On top of that, multiple bullish signals have appeared on BTC charts over the past six months. The analyst described Bitcoin as sitting in an oversold and undervalued zone.
However, Ash Crypto did not rule out downside risks.
A surprise move from the White House, an escalation in global conflict, or a sharp stock market sell-off could all reverse the trend quickly.
Massive Liquidation Risk Hangs Over Bitcoin Bulls
Not everyone shares the optimistic outlook. Crypto trader Seth flagged a threat lurking beneath the surface.
According to Seth, an estimated $11.76 billion in leveraged long positions could face liquidation if Bitcoin drops to $65,000. He described this as a stark warning for bulls currently holding long positions.
Seth criticized traders for not taking profits at current levels. He argued that greed is leading many to ignore clear warning signs in the market.
His comments reflect growing concern about overleveraged positions and the risks they carry during volatile price swings.
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BTC Structure Improving but Not Yet Confirmed
Analyst CRYPFLOW shared a similar read on the current market structure.
Back on March 18, CRYPFLOW had flagged bullish signals on higher timeframes but noted short-term bearish structure. That analysis played out as Bitcoin dropped toward $65,000 before bouncing back to around $78,000.
CRYPFLOW noted that structure is now improving but warned that Bitcoin is not fully out of danger. The analyst pointed to two likely outcomes.
$BTC (1D) – played out as expected
On March 18 I shared this idea:
Bullish higher timeframes…
but bearish short-term structure.That’s exactly how it played out.
Bitcoin dropped back towards 65K,
and from there we saw the bounce back up to ~78K.Short-term weakness inside a… https://t.co/2EXJHmVt6q pic.twitter.com/14Va4LN2Sr
— CRYPFLOW (@_Crypflow_) April 25, 2026
A clean breakout from the current bear flag formation could signal continuation to the upside. A rejection, however, could push Bitcoin into further range-bound movement or even a lower leg down.
CRYPFLOW stressed that the plan has not changed and that price action continues to follow the structure laid out weeks earlier.
The post Bitcoin Charts Flash Bullish, but Macro Risks Loom appeared first on BitcoinLinux .
